Thus far in 2024, major stock market indices have shown varied performances, reflecting diverse economic conditions globally with western indices performing generally better than emerging market ones. In the U.S., the Dow Jones rose to new highs, while the NASDAQ, and the S&P 500 maintained an upward trajectory, indicating a mix of optimism and sector-specific challenges. European indices like the FTSE 100 and DAX displayed minor movements, suggesting cautious investor sentiment.
For Emerging Markets (EMs), the scenario is complex with geopolitical tensions and economic resilience influencing performance. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) highlighted long-term underperformance against U.S. markets, but a weakening U.S. dollar and lower valuations offer potential opportunities for long-term investors. Overall, 2024 presents a landscape of cautious optimism in developed markets and a nuanced outlook in EMs, with geopolitical risks still on the rise.
The US remains an engine of growth globally

The US continues to play a pivotal role in driving global economic dynamics. According to recent updates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the US economy is projected to experience a substantial growth rate of 2.1% in 2024, buoyed by government fiscal measures and robust consumer expenditure. On the other hand, the forecast for the Eurozone has been adjusted downwards to a mere 0.9% growth rate for the same year. China, however, has seen a positive adjustment in its economic growth expectations, now anticipated to see a 4.6% expansion in 2024. Japan, in contrast, is grappling with the dual issues of escalating consumer prices and tepid economic expansion, compounded by stagnant real wages that struggle to match the pace of inflation. Despite these challenges, the NIKKEI index recently reached an all-time high, marking a significant milestone after 34 years since its last peak in 1989.
The demand for critical minerals and precious metals remains encouraging
The outlook for critical minerals and precious metals in 2024 and beyond remains positive given several factors. Demand for critical minerals like lithium, cobalt, nickel, and copper is expected to rise sharply due to their essential role in renewable energy technologies and electric vehicles, highlighting a pressing need for increased exploration, development, and recycling efforts to meet this demand and mitigate supply constraints and geopolitical risks.
Precious metals, particularly silver and platinum, are poised for appreciation, driven by easing monetary policies, industrial demand, and their indispensable use in green technologies and fuel cells. Gold, while expected to see moderate price increases, faces a shift in demand dynamics, with investment demand softening and official demand stabilizing at higher levels.
The economic slowdown in some regions poses challenges but also sets the stage for a modest recovery that could influence metal prices and demand. The overarching trend towards sustainability and electrification underpins the long-term outlook for these resources, with the mining sector at a critical juncture to balance economic performance with environmental and social governance considerations. As the industry navigates through these complexities, strategic investments and innovations in mining and metal extraction technologies are essential to ensure a sustainable supply chain that can support the global transition to a cleaner, more sustainable future.
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